Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
J. Pegula vs M. Keys

Jessica Pegula

USA

1

Win

Played

2

Win

Age

1.70m

Height

1.78m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$15.0M

Career Money

$20.8M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Madison Keys

USA

1

Win

Played

2

Win

Age

1.70m

Height

1.78m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$15.0M

Career Money

$20.8M

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Plays

Right-handed (two-handed backhand)

Head-to-head: Pegula 1 - 2 Keys

They have played 7 sets in total, with Jessica Pegula winning 3 and Madison Keys winning 4. The last match between Madison Keys and Jessica Pegula was at the Adelaide International - Adelaide, 11-01-2025, Round: F, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 6-3 4-6 6-1.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Pegula	1
Keys	2

Last 3 H2H Matches:

(F) Adelaide International - Adelaide(01-11-25)

Stats

Madison Keys

Jessica Pegula

(R4) U.S. Open - New York(09-04-23)

Stats

Madison Keys

Jessica Pegula

(QF) San Diego Open - San Diego(10-14-22)

Stats

Jessica Pegula

Madison Keys

J. Pegula vs M. Keys H2H Profile

J. Pegula	Stats	M. Keys
$14,960,179	Career Prize Money	$20,819,148
64.57% (483-265)	Career Total W/L	64.47% (421-232)
1	Hard	2
10	Titles	14
1	Total H2H Matches	2
71.43% (50-20)	YTD Win/Loss	74.00% (37-13)
3	YTD Titles	2

J. Pegula vs M. Keys Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Jessica Pegula has won 44.38% of points on their second serve, while Madison Keys has won 41.30%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Jessica Pegula, in recent form, has won 50.10% of their opponent's second serve points, while Madison Keys has won 49.15%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.50% and 30.42% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Jessica Pegula has saved 53.42% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Madison Keys has saved 56.51% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Jessica Pegula has won 69.44% of matches played (W/L 50/22), with Madison Keys winning 74.00% (W/L 37/13) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Jessica Pegula has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 68% (W/L 285/136), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 56% (W/L 32/25). Madison Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 54/22), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/15).
Player level: In the last year, Jessica Pegula has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 65.63% of matches (W/L 21/11), where as Madison Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 70.00% of matches (W/L 14/6). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 3 times before with Jessica Pegula winning 1 times and Madison Keys being victorious 2 times. They have played 7 sets in total, with Jessica Pegula winning 3 and Madison Keys winning 4.
The last match between Jessica Pegula and Madison Keys was at the Adelaide International - Adelaide, 11-01-2025, Round: F, Surface: Hard, with Madison Keys getting the victory 6-3 4-6 6-1.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:25:42.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Jessica Pegula has played against opponents with an average rank of 112.92 while Madison Keys has played against players with an average rank of 47.08.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Jessica Pegula has won 59% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Madison Keys has won 75% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Jessica Pegula has converted 34.47% of breakpoint opportunities, and Madison Keys has converted 36.84% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

J. Pegula vs M. Keys H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

J. Pegula	Stats	M. Keys
1	H2H Matches Won	2
3	Sets Won	4
27	Games Won	37
5	Aces (Total)	15
10	Total Double Faults	4
1:25:42	Average Match Time	1:25:42
61% (138/226)	1st Serve %	68% (129/190)
65% (90/138)	1st Serve Win %	71% (92/129)
40% (35/88)	2nd Serve Win %	52% (32/61)
44% (7/16)	Break Pts Won %	44% (12/27)
35% (66/190)	Return Points Win %	45% (101/226)
33% (1/3)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	67% (2/3)
0% (0/1)	Deciding Set Win %	100% (1/1)
100% (1/1)	1st Set Won, Won Match	100% (2/2)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	0% (0/2)
0% (0/2)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

J. Pegula Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Wuhan Open - Wuhan - 06-10-2025
QF Katerina SiniakovaK. Siniakova	W	2-6 6-0 6-3	Stats
R3 Ekaterina AlexandrovaE. Alexandrova	W	7-5 3-6 6-3	Stats
R2 Hailey BaptisteH. Baptiste	W	6-4 4-6 7-6(6)	Stats
China Open - Beijing - 22-09-2025
SF Linda NoskovaL. Noskova	L	6-3 1-6 7-6(6)	Stats
QF Emma NavarroE. Navarro	W	6-7(2) 6-2 6-1	Stats

View All

M. Keys Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
U.S. Open - New York - 25-08-2025
R1 Renata ZarazuaR. Zarazua	L	6-7(10) 7-6(3) 7-5	Stats
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati - 04-08-2025
R4 Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina	L	6-7(3) 6-4 6-2	Stats
R3 Aoi ItoA. Ito	W	6-4 6-0	Stats
R2 Eva LysE. Lys	W	1-6 6-3 7-6(1)	Stats
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal - 28-07-2025
QF Clara TausonC. Tauson	L	6-1 6-4	Stats

View All

J. Pegula vs M. Keys Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

J. Pegula	Stats	M. Keys
64.57% (483/265)	YTD Win/Loss	64.47% (421/232)
61.74% (1065/660)	Sets Win/Loss	62.39% (934/563)
54.60% (8727/7257)	Games Win/Loss	54.70% (7680/6361)
67.70% (285/136)	Hard Win/Loss	64.12% (252/141)
61.84% (128/79)	Clay Win/Loss	64.47% (98/54)
57.81% (37/27)	Indoor Hard W/L	53.13% (17/15)
58.93% (33/23)	Grass Win/Loss	71.05% (54/22)
0.18	Aces Per Game	0.42
1423	Aces Total	2887
0.2	Double Faults Per Game	0.2
1579	Total Double Faults	1397
1:12:34	Average Match Time	1:19:25
129.58	Average Opponent Rank	348.5
59% (24271/41047)	1st Serve %	63% (25438/40308)
65% (15777/24271)	1st Serve Win %	69% (17455/25438)
49% (8164/16775)	2nd Serve Win %	48% (7145/14853)
47% (2442/5199)	Break Points Won % (Total)	44% (2116/4827)
46% (18750/40995)	Return Points Win %	43% (18047/41504)
65.49% (74/39)	Slam W/L	70.86% (124/51)
66.46% (109/55)	Masters W/L	56.31% (116/90)
66.67% (6/3)	Cups W/L	44.44% (4/5)
65.57% (120/63)	Main Tour W/L	66.32% (126/64)
61.92% (161/99)	Challenger W/L	64.91% (37/20)
68.42% (13/6)	Futures W/L	87.50% (14/2)
64% (475/739)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	65% (417/641)
100% (1/1)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	25% (1/4)
57% (104/181)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	58% (102/177)
55% (130/237)	Deciding Set Win %	53% (104/196)
87% (478/414)	1st Set Won, Won Match	87% (425/369)
13% (478/64)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	13% (425/55)
25% (269/68)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	22% (228/51)